A college basketball game between the University of Hawaii Rainbow Warriors and UC Davis Aggies scheduled for February 26, 2026 at 9:00 PM ET. Multiple prediction markets track the moneyline winner, point spread outcomes, and total points scored across Kalshi and Polymarket platforms.
Kalshi moneyline market contains a logical contradiction where both possible outcomes (UC Davis win and Hawaii win) are mapped to the same resolution (Yes), making the market mathematically unresolvable. Polymarket uses standard binary resolution with explicit edge case handling.
Hero Tip:
Do not trade the Kalshi moneyline market. It is unresolvable due to internal logical contradiction. Polymarket's moneyline, spread, and total markets are all internally consistent and should be used for this event.
Critical Divergence Points:
Kalshi: Moneyline market resolves to Yes for both UC Davis win and Hawaii win outcomes. This is a logical impossibility. No edge case handling provided for postponements or cancellations.
Polymarket: Moneyline resolves to Hawaii Rainbow Warriors if Hawaii wins, UC Davis Aggies if UC Davis wins. Spread markets (-1.5, -2.5) resolve based on point differential. Total markets (O/U 147.5, 149.5, 150.5) resolve based on combined score. All markets include explicit postponement (market remains open) and cancellation (50-50 split) handling.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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