TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.6b
24H VOL:
$283,259,638
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,235,549,422
505,521
Markets across
13,661
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,892
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
Hawaii Rainbow Warriors vs. Arkansas Razorbacks
Volume:
$1,332,115
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event is for the CBB game between Hawaii Rainbow Warriors and Arkansas Razorbacks on March 19 at 12:00 AM ET. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi and Polymarket use fundamentally incompatible resolution logic. Kalshi resolves on which team reaches 10 points first (a micro-event within the game), while Polymarket resolves on final game outcome, spreads, and total points. These are logically independent events that cannot both occur from the same game result.Hero Tip:
Do not cross-hedge Kalshi and Polymarket markets in this group. A Kalshi YES (either team reaches 10 first) is guaranteed to occur early in any completed game, but tells you nothing about final score, spread, or total points on Polymarket. Treat these as separate, non-correlated events despite sharing the same underlying game.Critical Divergence Points:
- Kalshi: Outlier: Resolves YES if either Hawaii or Arkansas is the first to reach 10 points in the game scheduled for March 19, 2026. This is a micro-event that occurs within the first few minutes of play and is independent of final game outcome. Key quote: 'If Hawai'i is the first to reach 10 points... then the market resolves to Yes' AND 'If Arkansas is the first to reach 10 points... then the market resolves to Yes.'
- Polymarket: Outlier: Resolves on final game outcome (moneyline winner), multiple spread thresholds (-14.5 to -27.5), and total points scored (154.5 to 179.5). All markets reference final score including overtime, scheduled for March 19 at 12:00 AM ET (moneyline) or 4:25 PM ET (spreads and totals). Key quote: 'The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods.'
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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