TOTAL VOLUME:

$54.6b

24H VOL:

$283,259,638

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,235,549,422

505,521

Markets across

13,661

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

1,892

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

4

Polymarket:

51%

VS.

Kalshi:

49%

BETA
Dashboards
kalshi
polymarket
Trending

Harvard Crimson vs. Wisconsin Badgers (W)

Volume:
$634,830
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade

Description

This event group tracks the outcome of the Harvard Crimson vs. Wisconsin Badgers women's college basketball game scheduled for March 26, 2026, played at Wisconsin. The market resolves based on which team wins the matchup, with no alternative settlement scenarios.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue:

Kalshi resolves YES for both Harvard win AND Wisconsin win (logical contradiction making the market unresolvable), while Polymarket correctly resolves to either 'Harvard Crimson' or 'Wisconsin Badgers' as mutually exclusive outcomes. Kalshi's rules create a data integrity failure where both outcomes cannot simultaneously resolve YES.

Hero Tip:

Avoid Kalshi's version of this market entirely — its resolution logic is contradictory and unresolvable. Trade only on Polymarket, which has clear mutually exclusive outcomes: Harvard Crimson wins resolves to 'Harvard Crimson', Wisconsin Badgers wins resolves to 'Wisconsin Badgers'. Kalshi's market will likely face settlement disputes or cancellation.

Critical Divergence Points:

  • Kalshi: Outlier: Contains a logical contradiction. The market states 'If Harvard wins...resolves to Yes' AND 'If Wisconsin wins...resolves to Yes', meaning both possible outcomes map to the same resolution (YES), making the market unresolvable and creating a data integrity failure. Key quote: 'If Harvard wins the Harvard at Wisconsin women's college basketball game originally scheduled for Mar 26, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If Wisconsin wins the Harvard at Wisconsin women's college basketball game originally scheduled for Mar 26, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.'
  • Polymarket: Aligned with sound resolution logic: Resolves to mutually exclusive outcomes — 'Harvard Crimson' if Harvard wins, 'Wisconsin Badgers' if Wisconsin wins. Includes proper edge case handling for postponement (market remains open) and cancellation (50-50 split). Key quote: 'If the Harvard Crimson win, the market will resolve to Harvard Crimson. If the Wisconsin Badgers win, the market will resolve to Wisconsin Badgers.'
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

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PredictionHero © 2026 · v0.13.0PredictionHero provides aggregated market data and informational signals only. Nothing on this site constitutes financial, legal, or investment advice. Markets are volatile and speculative. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Always do your own research and consult qualified professionals before making decisions involving risk.