TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.4b
24H VOL:
$234,875,025
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,205,330,693
501,301
Markets across
13,585
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,825
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
Harvard Crimson vs. Penn Quakers
Volume:
$350,289
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers a men's college basketball game between Harvard Crimson and Penn Quakers scheduled for February 28, 2026 at 6:00 PM ET. Markets span moneyline (winner), over/under totals at two thresholds (137.5 and 138.5), and point spreads (-1.5 and -2.5 for Penn). Resolution depends on final score including overtime.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi moneyline market contains a logical contradiction: both Penn victory and Harvard victory are stated to resolve to 'Yes', making the market fundamentally unresolvable and creating data integrity failure.Hero Tip:
Do not trade Kalshi moneyline until the platform corrects the resolution language. Polymarket's moneyline, spreads, and over/under markets are logically sound and safe to trade. Request clarification from Kalshi on whether the market should have a 'No' outcome or if one outcome was incorrectly labeled.Critical Divergence Points:
- Polymarket: Moneyline resolves to either 'Harvard Crimson' or 'Penn Quakers' based on winner. Spreads resolve based on margin of victory (Penn -1.5 requires 2+ point win; Penn -2.5 requires 3+ point win). Over/Under markets resolve based on combined score threshold (137.5 or 138.5). All markets: postponement keeps open; cancellation with no makeup = 50-50. Key Quote: 'The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods.'
- Kalshi: Moneyline market states both Penn victory and Harvard victory resolve to 'Yes', creating logical impossibility. No 'No' outcome is defined. This violates binary market structure and makes settlement ambiguous. Key Quote: 'If Penn wins the Harvard at Penn men's college basketball game originally scheduled for Feb 28, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If Harvard wins the Harvard at Penn men's college basketball game originally scheduled for Feb 28, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.'
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
Follow the signals, not the noise
Get insights on market conviction, notable shifts, and what the data is quietly signaling.
PredictionHero © 2026 · v0.13.0PredictionHero provides aggregated market data and informational signals only. Nothing on this site constitutes financial, legal, or investment advice. Markets are volatile and speculative. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Always do your own research and consult qualified professionals before making decisions involving risk.