TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.2b
24H VOL:
$217,900,088
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,256,149,940
499,530
Markets across
13,705
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,785
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
Hapoel Tel Aviv vs. Virtus Bologna
Volume:
$43,575
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
In the upcoming Euroleague basketball game, scheduled for March 19 at 3:05PM ET: If the Hapoel Tel Aviv win, the market will resolve to "Hapoel Tel Aviv". If the Virtus Bologna win, the market will resolve to "Virtus Bologna". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi resolves YES for any outcome (both teams winning), making the market logically incoherent and unresolvable. Polymarket correctly resolves to a single winner (Hapoel Tel Aviv or Virtus Bologna) based on game outcome, with a 50-50 tie-break for cancellation.Hero Tip:
Avoid Kalshi entirely — its market is fundamentally broken and will resolve YES regardless of who wins, making it impossible to lose. Polymarket is the only usable market in this group; trade there if you want a real binary outcome.Critical Divergence Points:
- Kalshi: Outlier: Resolves YES if Virtus Bologna wins AND YES if Hapoel Tel-Aviv wins, creating a logical contradiction where every possible game outcome triggers YES. Key quote: 'If Virtus Bologna wins... then the market resolves to Yes. If Hapoel Tel-Aviv wins... then the market resolves to Yes.'
- Polymarket: Outlier: Resolves to the actual winner's name (Hapoel Tel Aviv or Virtus Bologna), with a 50-50 tie-break only if the game is canceled entirely. Key quote: 'If the Hapoel Tel Aviv win, the market will resolve to Hapoel Tel Aviv. If the Virtus Bologna win, the market will resolve to Virtus Bologna. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.'
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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