TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.2b
24H VOL:
$217,900,088
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,256,149,940
499,530
Markets across
13,705
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,785
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
Hapoel Tel Aviv vs. Panathinaikos
Volume:
$428,126
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This market resolves based on the winner of the Euroleague basketball game between Hapoel Tel Aviv and Panathinaikos, scheduled for April 2, 2026 at approximately 1:00-2:05 PM ET. The market will settle to the team that wins the completed game, with special handling for postponements and cancellations.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi's resolution logic is contradictory and unresolvable: both outcomes (Hapoel Tel Aviv wins OR Panathinaikos wins) resolve to YES, making it impossible to distinguish a winning outcome. Polymarket uses standard binary logic where one team's victory resolves to that team's name. Additionally, the platforms specify different scheduled times (Kalshi: 1:00 PM EDT vs. Polymarket: 2:05 PM ET).Hero Tip:
Do not trade on Kalshi's version of this market—its resolution rules guarantee YES for any match outcome, rendering the market logically broken and unresolvable. Polymarket's market is standard and resolvable. If you hold Kalshi positions, expect potential voiding or emergency settlement by the platform.Critical Divergence Points:
- Kalshi: Outlier: Kalshi's resolution logic contains a critical logical contradiction. Both rule 1 ('If Hapoel Tel-Aviv wins...then resolves to Yes') and rule 2 ('If Panathinaikos BC wins...then resolves to Yes') resolve to YES, meaning every possible match outcome produces YES. This makes the market unresolvable and contradicts the binary nature of a sports match. Key quote: 'If Hapoel Tel-Aviv wins...resolves to Yes' AND 'If Panathinaikos BC wins...resolves to Yes'.
- Polymarket: Aligned with standard binary sports resolution: Polymarket uses mutually exclusive outcomes where Hapoel Tel Aviv victory resolves to 'Hapoel Tel Aviv' and Panathinaikos victory resolves to 'Panathinaikos', with clear handling of postponement (market remains open) and cancellation (50-50 split). Key quote: 'If the Hapoel Tel Aviv win, the market will resolve to Hapoel Tel Aviv. If the Panathinaikos win, the market will resolve to Panathinaikos.'
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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