TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.4b
24H VOL:
$234,875,025
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,205,330,693
501,301
Markets across
13,585
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,825
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
Hapoel Tel Aviv vs. Fenerbahce
Volume:
$375,107
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
In the upcoming Euroleague basketball game, scheduled for April 7 at 12:00PM ET: If the Hapoel Tel Aviv win, the market will resolve to "Hapoel Tel Aviv". If the Fenerbahce win, the market will resolve to "Fenerbahce". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi's resolution logic is fundamentally broken: it resolves to YES for both possible outcomes (Hapoel Tel Aviv win OR Fenerbahce win), making the market logically unresolvable. Polymarket correctly resolves to a single winner or 50-50 on cancellation.Hero Tip:
Do not trade on Kalshi's version of this market. The resolution rules guarantee YES regardless of the game outcome, which violates basic binary market logic. Polymarket is the only reliable settlement source for this event.Critical Divergence Points:
- Polymarket: Outlier (correct logic): Resolves to 'Hapoel Tel Aviv' if Hapoel wins, 'Fenerbahce' if Fenerbahce wins, or 50-50 if the game is canceled with no makeup. Quote: 'If the Hapoel Tel Aviv win, the market will resolve to Hapoel Tel Aviv. If the Fenerbahce win, the market will resolve to Fenerbahce.'
- Kalshi: Outlier (broken logic): Resolves to YES if Hapoel Tel Aviv wins AND ALSO resolves to YES if Fenerbahce wins, creating a logical contradiction where both outcomes trigger YES. Quote: 'If Hapoel Tel-Aviv wins...then the market resolves to Yes. If Fenerbahce Istanbul wins...then the market resolves to Yes.'
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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