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406,019

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Hapoel Tel Aviv vs. Fenerbahce
polymarket
kalshi

Hapoel Tel Aviv vs. Fenerbahce

Volume:
$375,107

Hapoel Tel-Aviv

 - Kalshi

Hapoel Tel-Aviv - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Apr 7, 2026

Closed: Apr 7, 3:00 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Hapoel Tel-Aviv

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$197,325
N/A
N/A
$134,742
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Hapoel Tel Aviv vs. Fenerbahce

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$33,982
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Fenerbahce Istanbul

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$143,800
N/A
N/A
$108,549
Settled
No
Total markets: 3

Description

In the upcoming Euroleague basketball game, scheduled for April 7 at 12:00PM ET: If the Hapoel Tel Aviv win, the market will resolve to "Hapoel Tel Aviv". If the Fenerbahce win, the market will resolve to "Fenerbahce". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Kalshi's resolution logic is fundamentally broken: it resolves to YES for both possible outcomes (Hapoel Tel Aviv win OR Fenerbahce win), making the market logically unresolvable. Polymarket correctly resolves to a single winner or 50-50 on cancellation.Hero tip: Do not trade on Kalshi's version of this market. The resolution rules guarantee YES regardless of the game outcome, which violates basic binary market logic. Polymarket is the only reliable settlement source for this event.

Critical divergence points:

  • Polymarket: Outlier (correct logic): Resolves to 'Hapoel Tel Aviv' if Hapoel wins, 'Fenerbahce' if Fenerbahce wins, or 50-50 if the game is canceled with no makeup. Quote: 'If the Hapoel Tel Aviv win, the market will resolve to Hapoel Tel Aviv. If the Fenerbahce win, the market will resolve to Fenerbahce.'
  • Kalshi: Outlier (broken logic): Resolves to YES if Hapoel Tel Aviv wins AND ALSO resolves to YES if Fenerbahce wins, creating a logical contradiction where both outcomes trigger YES. Quote: 'If Hapoel Tel-Aviv wins...then the market resolves to Yes. If Fenerbahce Istanbul wins...then the market resolves to Yes.'
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.