This event group covers a college basketball game between Hampton Pirates and Stony Brook Seawolves scheduled for February 21, 2026 at 4:00 PM ET. Markets include moneyline (winner), over/under total points at 135.5, and point spreads at -4.5 and -5.5 for Stony Brook.
Kalshi market contains a logical contradiction where both possible outcomes (Stony Brook win and Hampton win) are stated to resolve to Yes, making the market fundamentally unresolvable. Polymarket markets are logically consistent but operate on a different platform with separate resolution mechanics.
Hero Tip:
Avoid trading the Kalshi market until the platform issues a clarification or correction. The Yes/Yes mapping is a data integrity failure. Use Polymarket as your primary reference for this game, as its moneyline, spread, and over/under markets all follow standard, resolvable logic.
Critical Divergence Points:
Polymarket: Moneyline resolves to team name (Hampton Pirates or Stony Brook Seawolves). Spread markets resolve based on margin of victory: Seawolves at -4.5 resolves Seawolves if they win by 5+, otherwise Pirates; Seawolves at -5.5 resolves Seawolves if they win by 6+, otherwise Pirates. Over/Under 135.5 resolves Over if combined score is 136+, Under if less. All markets remain open if postponed; resolve 50-50 if canceled with no makeup. Key Quote: 'The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods.'
Kalshi: Market states: 'If Stony Brook wins the Hampton at Stony Brook men's college basketball game originally scheduled for Feb 21, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If Hampton wins the Hampton at Stony Brook men's college basketball game originally scheduled for Feb 21, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.' Both outcomes map to Yes, creating a logical impossibility and rendering the market unresolvable.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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