TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.1b

24H VOL:

$133,388,117

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,436,095,462

405,232

Markets across

30,526

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,693

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

BETA
Dashboards
Insights
Indices
Tour
All
Trending
Breaking
New
Ending Soon
Politics
Sports
Crypto
Companies
Elections
Financials
Economics
Other
Entertainment
Science and Technology
Hamburger SV vs. FC Augsburg
polymarket
kalshi

Hamburger SV vs. FC Augsburg

Volume:
$611,545

Draw (Hamburger SV vs. FC Augsburg)

all

2 markets

Polymarket

Kalshi

consensus

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Apr 4, 2026

Closed: Apr 4, 9:30 AM EST

polymarket

Polymarket

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

Draw (Hamburger SV vs. FC Augsburg)

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$134,150
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Tie

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$7,744
N/A
N/A
$7,608
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Hamburger SV

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$259,114
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Hamburg

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$43,775
N/A
N/A
$33,898
Settled
No
polymarket

FC Augsburg

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$156,837
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Augsburg

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$9,925
N/A
N/A
$6,923
Settled
No
Total markets: 6

Description

This event is for the upcoming Bundesliga game, scheduled for Saturday, April 4, 2026 between Hamburger SV and FC Augsburg.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Polymarket offers three mutually exclusive binary markets (Augsburg win, Hamburg win, draw), each resolving independently based on match outcome. Kalshi presents three markets that all resolve YES regardless of outcome—creating a logical contradiction where every possible match result triggers YES on all three Kalshi markets simultaneously.Hero tip: Avoid Kalshi markets in this group entirely. They are fundamentally unresolvable as written: a draw resolves YES on all three markets, Hamburg win resolves YES on all three markets, and Augsburg win resolves YES on all three markets. This violates basic market logic. Polymarket's three binary markets are standard and resolvable. Trade only on Polymarket.

Critical divergence points:

  • Polymarket: Distinct stance: Polymarket offers three mutually exclusive binary markets where exactly one resolves YES based on the 90-minute match outcome. Each market (Augsburg win, Hamburg win, draw) resolves YES or NO independently based on whether that specific outcome occurs. Primary source is official Bundesliga statistics or credible reporting consensus within 2 hours of match conclusion.
  • Kalshi: Outlier: Kalshi presents three markets that all resolve YES if any of the three possible outcomes occur (tie, Hamburg win, or Augsburg win). Since every match must end in one of these three outcomes, all three Kalshi markets will always resolve YES simultaneously, creating a logical impossibility and data integrity failure. The market structure is unresolvable.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.