TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.6b
24H VOL:
$283,259,638
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,235,549,422
505,521
Markets across
13,661
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,892
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
Hamburger SV vs. 1. FC Union Berlin
Volume:
$653,995
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers the Bundesliga match between Hamburger SV and 1. FC Union Berlin scheduled for February 14, 2026. Markets are offered on Kalshi and Polymarket, with overlapping coverage of the final match outcome (win/loss/draw) measured at 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time and penalties.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi lacks explicit cancellation guidance for all three outcome markets, while Polymarket provides asymmetric cancellation rules: draw resolves Yes on cancellation, but win markets resolve No. This creates a settlement gap if the game is postponed indefinitely or canceled without a makeup.Hero Tip:
Traders holding draw positions should prefer Polymarket for cancellation protection (resolves Yes). For win positions, both platforms resolve No on cancellation, but Kalshi's silence on this scenario introduces ambiguity. Contact Kalshi support to confirm their cancellation protocol matches Polymarket's before the event date.Critical Divergence Points:
- Kalshi: Three separate Yes/No markets for each outcome (Hamburg win, Union win, tie). All resolve Yes if their outcome occurs after 90 minutes plus stoppage time. No explicit cancellation, postponement, or makeup game clause provided. Key Quote: 'If Tie wins... then the market resolves to Yes. If Hamburg wins... then the market resolves to Yes. If Union Berlin wins... then the market resolves to Yes.'
- Polymarket: Three separate Yes/No markets with explicit edge-case handling. Union win and Hamburg win markets resolve No if canceled with no makeup. Draw market resolves Yes if canceled with no makeup. Postponed games remain open until completion. Key Quote: 'If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve "No"' (win markets) vs. 'this market will resolve "Yes"' (draw market).
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
Follow the signals, not the noise
Get insights on market conviction, notable shifts, and what the data is quietly signaling.
PredictionHero © 2026 · v0.13.0PredictionHero provides aggregated market data and informational signals only. Nothing on this site constitutes financial, legal, or investment advice. Markets are volatile and speculative. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Always do your own research and consult qualified professionals before making decisions involving risk.