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404,028

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2,681

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

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VS.

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Hamburger SV vs. 1. FC Union Berlin
kalshi
polymarket

Hamburger SV vs. 1. FC Union Berlin

Volume:
$653,995

Hamburg

 - Kalshi

Hamburg - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Feb 14, 2026

Closed: Feb 14, 12:30 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Hamburg

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
$69,117
$151,965
N/A
N/A
$85,218
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Tie

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
$52,614
$70,864
N/A
N/A
$50,705
Settled
No
kalshi

Union Berlin

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
$59,107
$70,667
N/A
N/A
$46,773
Settled
No
polymarket

Hamburger SV

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$280,711
0%
N/A
N/A
N/A
polymarket

1. FC Union Berlin

0%
Yes 0.1¢No 99.9¢
—
$272,757
$56,282
0%
N/A
N/A
N/A
polymarket

Draw (Hamburger SV vs. 1. FC Union Berlin)

0%
Yes 0.1¢No 99.9¢
—
$270,534
$23,505
0%
N/A
N/A
N/A
Total markets: 6

Description

This event group covers the Bundesliga match between Hamburger SV and 1. FC Union Berlin scheduled for February 14, 2026. Markets are offered on Kalshi and Polymarket, with overlapping coverage of the final match outcome (win/loss/draw) measured at 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time and penalties.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Kalshi lacks explicit cancellation guidance for all three outcome markets, while Polymarket provides asymmetric cancellation rules: draw resolves Yes on cancellation, but win markets resolve No. This creates a settlement gap if the game is postponed indefinitely or canceled without a makeup.Hero tip: Traders holding draw positions should prefer Polymarket for cancellation protection (resolves Yes). For win positions, both platforms resolve No on cancellation, but Kalshi's silence on this scenario introduces ambiguity. Contact Kalshi support to confirm their cancellation protocol matches Polymarket's before the event date.

Critical divergence points:

  • Kalshi: Three separate Yes/No markets for each outcome (Hamburg win, Union win, tie). All resolve Yes if their outcome occurs after 90 minutes plus stoppage time. No explicit cancellation, postponement, or makeup game clause provided. Key Quote: 'If Tie wins... then the market resolves to Yes. If Hamburg wins... then the market resolves to Yes. If Union Berlin wins... then the market resolves to Yes.'
  • Polymarket: Three separate Yes/No markets with explicit edge-case handling. Union win and Hamburg win markets resolve No if canceled with no makeup. Draw market resolves Yes if canceled with no makeup. Postponed games remain open until completion. Key Quote: 'If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve "No"' (win markets) vs. 'this market will resolve "Yes"' (draw market).
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.