TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.3b
24H VOL:
$158,613,015
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,206,641,323
499,459
Markets across
13,676
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,789
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
Haiti vs. Scotland
Total volume:
$8,239
Volume 24h:
$199
61%
Liquidity:
$34,672
8%
Open interest:
$6,291
0%
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event is for the upcoming FIFA World Cup game, scheduled for Saturday, June 13, 2026 between Haiti and Scotland.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Polymarket and Predict draw markets contain inverted cancellation logic (resolve YES on cancellation) versus all win markets and competing platforms (resolve NO on cancellation). Additionally, scheduled date differs between platforms (June 13 vs June 14, 2026), and Limitless imposes a hard deadline of July 14, 2026, 01:00 UTC for official result publication.Hero Tip:
Do not assume cancellation behavior is uniform. The draw outcome on Polymarket and Predict will resolve YES if the match is canceled with no make-up, while Haiti and Scotland win markets on those same platforms resolve NO. This creates a one-way arbitrage if cancellation occurs. Verify the actual FIFA World Cup schedule and obtain explicit written confirmation from each platform on how they handle postponement vs. cancellation before the match date.Critical Divergence Points:
- Kalshi: All three outcomes (Haiti win, Scotland win, Tie) resolve YES if they occur after 90 minutes plus stoppage time. No explicit cancellation or postponement clause stated. Scheduled date: June 13, 2026.
- Limitless: Haiti and Scotland win markets resolve NO if match is not completed with official result by July 14, 2026, 01:00 UTC. Draw market resolves YES if match is not completed by deadline OR ends in draw. Scheduled date: June 14, 2026.
- Polymarket: Haiti and Scotland win markets resolve NO on cancellation with no make-up. Draw market resolves YES on cancellation with no make-up. Postponement keeps markets open. Scheduled date: June 13, 2026. Key quote: 'If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to Yes' (draw only).
- Predict: Identical to Polymarket: Haiti and Scotland win markets resolve NO on cancellation; draw market resolves YES on cancellation. Postponement keeps markets open. Scheduled date: June 13, 2026.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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