TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.4b
24H VOL:
$234,875,025
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,205,330,693
501,301
Markets across
13,585
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,825
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
Gwangju FC vs. Incheon United FC
Volume:
$86,507
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers a professional K League 1 soccer match between Gwangju FC and Incheon United FC scheduled for March 7, 2026. Markets across platforms assess the outcome (Gwangju win, Incheon win, or draw) based on the result after 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, excluding extra time and penalties.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi's resolution logic is internally contradictory: all three mutually exclusive outcomes (Gwangju win, Tie, Incheon win) are specified to resolve to Yes, making simultaneous resolution impossible. Polymarket has asymmetric cancellation handling: win markets resolve No on cancellation, but the draw market resolves Yes.Hero Tip:
Do not trade Kalshi markets until clarification is obtained from the platform—the logic as written cannot be executed. On Polymarket, the draw market functions as a cancellation hedge (resolves Yes if game is canceled), while win markets do not. This creates a structural advantage for draw positions in tail-risk scenarios.Critical Divergence Points:
- Kalshi: All three outcome markets (Gwangju win, Tie, Incheon win) are specified to resolve to Yes. No cancellation clause is provided. This creates a logical impossibility: three mutually exclusive outcomes cannot all resolve Yes simultaneously. Key Quote: 'If Gwangju wins...then the market resolves to Yes. If Tie wins...then the market resolves to Yes. If Incheon Utd wins...then the market resolves to Yes.'
- Polymarket: Three separate markets with asymmetric cancellation logic. Win markets (Gwangju, Incheon) resolve No if game is canceled with no make-up. Draw market resolves Yes if game is canceled with no make-up. All reference 90 minutes plus stoppage time. Key Quote (Win): 'If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve No.' Key Quote (Draw): 'If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve Yes.'
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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