TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.4b
24H VOL:
$234,875,025
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,205,330,693
501,301
Markets across
13,585
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,825
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
Gwangju FC vs. Bucheon FC 1995
Volume:
$58,262
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event is for the upcoming K-League game, scheduled for Saturday, April 11, 2026 between Gwangju FC and Bucheon FC 1995.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Polymarket and Kalshi use fundamentally incompatible market structures for the same event. Polymarket offers three mutually exclusive binary markets (Gwangju win, Bucheon win, draw), while Kalshi offers three separate YES/NO markets that can theoretically all resolve YES simultaneously, creating a logical contradiction.Hero Tip:
Do not assume Polymarket and Kalshi outcomes will mirror each other. On Polymarket, exactly one of the three markets will resolve YES. On Kalshi, all three markets could resolve YES if the platform interprets each as independent outcome confirmations rather than mutually exclusive results. Verify the platform's settlement procedure before placing cross-platform hedges.Critical Divergence Points:
- Polymarket: Distinct stance: Polymarket structures the event as three mutually exclusive binary markets where exactly one outcome (Gwangju win, Bucheon win, or draw) will resolve YES and the other two will resolve NO. The resolution source is official K League statistics or credible reporting consensus within 2 hours of match conclusion. Quote: 'If Gwangju FC wins, this market will resolve to Yes. Otherwise, this market will resolve to No' (applied identically to all three outcome markets).
- Kalshi: Distinct stance: Kalshi presents three separate YES/NO markets, each confirming whether a specific outcome occurred (Gwangju win, Bucheon win, or tie). The market structure does not explicitly state mutual exclusivity, creating ambiguity about whether all three could resolve YES simultaneously or whether only one should. Quote: 'If Gwangju wins...then the market resolves to Yes. If Bucheon wins...then the market resolves to Yes. If Tie wins...then the market resolves to Yes.'
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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