TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.3b
24H VOL:
$198,896,558
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,191,591,877
500,572
Markets across
13,691
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,797
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
Grêmio FBPA vs. EC Vitória - More Markets
Volume:
$109,502
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
More markets for the Brazil Série A game, scheduled for March 19 at 6:00 PM ET.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Polymarket and Kalshi diverge on market scope and resolution logic. Polymarket offers directional spread markets (e.g., Grêmio -1.5, Vitória -1.5) that resolve based on which team wins by the specified margin, while Kalshi offers only combined-outcome markets (either team wins by >1.5 or >2.5 goals) that resolve YES if either condition is met, creating fundamentally different betting structures and outcomes.Hero Tip:
If you trade Polymarket spreads, you are betting on a specific team to cover a margin; if you trade Kalshi, you are betting on whether ANY team wins by the specified margin. A Polymarket Grêmio -1.5 bet and a Kalshi >1.5 margin bet will NOT resolve identically—Polymarket requires Grêmio to win by 2+, while Kalshi pays if either team wins by 2+. Verify your platform's payout structure before settling.Critical Divergence Points:
- Polymarket: Distinct stance: Polymarket offers directional spread markets where each outcome is tied to a specific team. For example, 'Spread: Grêmio FBPA (-1.5)' resolves YES to Grêmio only if Grêmio wins by 2+ goals, otherwise resolves to Vitória. Similarly, 'Spread: EC Vitória (-1.5)' resolves YES to Vitória only if Vitória wins by 2+ goals, otherwise to Grêmio. All markets reference 'official final score published on cbf.com.br' and resolve 50–50 if the game is canceled entirely.
- Kalshi: Distinct stance: Kalshi offers non-directional margin markets where the outcome is YES if either team wins by the specified margin, regardless of which team. For instance, 'If Vitoria wins by more than 2.5 goals... then the market resolves to Yes' AND 'If Gremio wins by more than 2.5 goals... then the market resolves to Yes.' This creates a single binary outcome (Yes/No) based on whether any team achieves the margin, not which team does so.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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