This event group covers the NBA game between the Memphis Grizzlies and Dallas Mavericks scheduled for February 27, 2026 at 8:30 PM ET. Markets span moneyline outcomes, point spreads, player prop bets (points, rebounds, assists), game totals, and first-half variants across Kalshi and Polymarket platforms.
Unified Resolution Criteria (Consistent across platforms)
Both Kalshi and Polymarket apply identical resolution logic: official NBA.com box score as the authoritative source, consistent treatment of postponements (remain open), cancellations (50-50), player inactivity (No), and overtime inclusion.
Spread (full game): Mavericks cover if winning by threshold or more (e.g., -6.5 requires 7+ point win); otherwise Grizzlies. Ties resolve to Grizzlies.
Spread (first half): Same logic applied to halftime score only
Player props (points/rebounds/assists): Over if stat exceeds threshold (e.g., >15.5 points); Under/No if at or below threshold
Player props: Resolve No if player listed inactive or does not take court
Game totals: Over if combined score meets or exceeds threshold (e.g., 236+ for 235.5 line); Under otherwise
First-half totals and spreads: Determined by halftime score only, not final game score
Postponement: Market remains open until game is completed
Cancellation with no makeup: All markets resolve 50-50
Edge cases & Clarifications:
Tied game at end of regulation: Spread markets resolve to Grizzlies (non-covering team). Moneyline and totals include all overtime periods until a winner is determined.
Player inactivity: If a player is listed as inactive or does not take the court, all their prop markets (points, rebounds, assists) resolve No.
Game postponement: Market remains open and unsettled until the game is completed on a future date. No automatic resolution.
Complete cancellation: If the game is canceled entirely with no makeup game scheduled, all markets resolve 50-50.
Halftime tie in first-half spread: First-half spread markets resolve to Grizzlies if halftime score is tied (non-covering outcome).
Timing:
Resolution occurs after the final official NBA box score is published on NBA.com following game completion (including any overtime). First-half markets resolve at halftime. Postponed games remain open until played.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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