TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.6b
24H VOL:
$283,259,638
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,235,549,422
505,521
Markets across
13,661
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,892
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
Grizzlies vs. Bulls
Volume:
$3,308,536
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers the NBA game between the Memphis Grizzlies and Chicago Bulls scheduled for March 16, 2025 at 8:00 PM ET. Markets span moneyline, spreads, over/unders (full game and first half), and individual player prop bets (points, rebounds, assists). The group includes listings on Polymarket (76 markets) and Kalshi (1 market).
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Polymarket provides comprehensive, explicit resolution rules for all market types with detailed edge-case handling (postponement, cancellation, ties, player inactivity). Kalshi's single market lacks any edge-case specification, creating ambiguity around game postponement, cancellation, and tie scenarios. Additionally, Kalshi lists the game date as March 16, 2026, while Polymarket and NBA.com confirm March 16, 2025.Hero Tip:
On Polymarket, all markets are fully specified with clear edge-case rules. On Kalshi, the market is underspecified. Before trading Kalshi, request clarification on: (1) what happens if the game is postponed, (2) what happens if the game is canceled with no makeup, (3) confirmation of the correct game date (2025 vs 2026). Use Polymarket's explicit rules as your reference standard.Critical Divergence Points:
- Polymarket: Comprehensive market definitions across 76 distinct markets (moneyline, spreads, over/unders, player props, first-half markets). All markets include explicit handling: postponement keeps market open, cancellation resolves 50-50, ties resolve per market type (e.g., spread ties favor Grizzlies, moneyline ties resolve 50-50). Player props explicitly state inactive players resolve to No. Resolution source is official NBA box score on NBA.com. Game date confirmed as March 16, 2025 at 8:00 PM ET.
- Kalshi: Single market with minimal definition. Logic: 'If Chicago wins...resolves to Yes. If Memphis wins...resolves to Yes.' No specification for postponement, cancellation, tie scenarios, or data source. Game date listed as March 16, 2026 (potential typo). Market structure is incomplete and ambiguous.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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