TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.4b
24H VOL:
$234,875,025
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,205,330,693
501,301
Markets across
13,585
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,825
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
Grimsby Town FC vs. Wolverhampton Wanderers FC
Volume:
$315,067
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers a professional FA Cup soccer match between Grimsby Town FC and Wolverhampton Wanderers FC scheduled for February 15, 2026. The markets assess three possible outcomes: a Grimsby win, a Wolverhampton win, or a draw, all evaluated within 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time (excluding extra time and penalties).
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi's market structure is logically incoherent: all three mutually exclusive outcomes (Grimsby win, Wolverhampton win, draw) are stated to resolve to Yes, violating the principle that only one outcome can occur. Polymarket's three separate binary markets are logically consistent but structurally incompatible with Kalshi's unified Yes-for-all approach.Hero Tip:
Ignore Kalshi's market entirely due to internal contradiction. Trade only on Polymarket's three binary markets: Grimsby Win, Draw, and Wolverhampton Win. These are mutually exclusive and logically sound. Verify Kalshi's market structure with the platform before placing any trades.Critical Divergence Points:
- Kalshi: Market structure claims all three outcomes resolve to Yes: 'If Wolverhampton wins...resolves to Yes. If Grimsby wins...resolves to Yes. If Tie wins...resolves to Yes.' This is logically impossible since only one outcome can occur. No mechanism exists to differentiate between outcomes.
- Polymarket: Three separate binary markets with mutually exclusive logic: Grimsby Win (Yes/No), Draw (Yes/No), Wolverhampton Win (Yes/No). Cancellation rules: Grimsby and Wolverhampton markets resolve No if canceled; Draw market resolves Yes if canceled. Exactly one outcome will be true at resolution.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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