This event group covers a men's college basketball game between the Grand Canyon Antelopes and Air Force Falcons scheduled for March 3, 2026 at 9:00 PM ET. Markets track the moneyline winner, point spread outcomes at two different thresholds (-19.5 and -20.5), and the total combined score over/under 141.5 points.
Kalshi's moneyline markets contain a logical contradiction: both Air Force win and Grand Canyon win are stated to resolve to Yes, making the market fundamentally unresolvable. This is a data integrity failure that prevents proper settlement.
Hero Tip:
Disregard Kalshi moneyline markets entirely due to logical impossibility. Use Polymarket moneyline (resolves to actual winner name) as the authoritative source. For spread and total markets, both platforms are consistent and resolvable.
Critical Divergence Points:
Kalshi: Moneyline markets state: If Air Force wins, resolve Yes. If Grand Canyon wins, resolve Yes. This creates a logical contradiction where both outcomes map to the same resolution. Quote: 'If Air Force wins the Grand Canyon at Air Force men's college basketball game originally scheduled for Mar 3, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes' AND 'If Grand Canyon wins the Grand Canyon at Air Force men's college basketball game originally scheduled for Mar 3, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.'
Polymarket: Moneyline market correctly resolves to winner identity: Grand Canyon Antelopes win resolves to Grand Canyon Antelopes; Air Force Falcons win resolves to Air Force Falcons. Spread markets (-19.5 and -20.5) and total market (O/U 141.5) use standard threshold logic. Quote: 'If the Grand Canyon Antelopes win, the market will resolve to Grand Canyon Antelopes. If the Air Force Falcons win, the market will resolve to Air Force Falcons.'
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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