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$1,410,176,180

399,592

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30,097

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MATCHED EVENTS:

2,622

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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Granada CF vs. Real Valladolid CF
kalshi
polymarket

Granada CF vs. Real Valladolid CF

Volume:
$23,765

Granada

 - Kalshi

Granada - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Feb 15, 2026

Closed: Feb 14, 6:00 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Granada

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
-$19,816
$8,176
N/A
N/A
$5,703
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Tie

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
-$5,830
$4,631
N/A
N/A
$4,485
Settled
No
kalshi

Valladolid

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
-$6,317
$3,431
N/A
N/A
$1,991
Settled
No
polymarket

Granada CF

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$3,778
0%
N/A
N/A
N/A
polymarket

Real Valladolid CF

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$2,174
0%
N/A
N/A
N/A
polymarket

Draw (Granada CF vs. Real Valladolid CF)

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,575
0%
N/A
N/A
N/A
Total markets: 6

Description

This event group covers the professional La Liga 2 soccer match between Granada CF and Real Valladolid CF scheduled for February 14, 2026. The markets assess three possible outcomes: Granada win, Valladolid win, or a draw, all evaluated within 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Cancellation handling diverges between platforms. Kalshi omits cancellation logic entirely, while Polymarket explicitly resolves draw markets to Yes on cancellation but win markets to No. This creates asymmetric risk for the draw outcome.Hero tip: Focus on cancellation risk as the key trading variable. If you believe cancellation is unlikely, both platforms converge on standard 90+stoppage-time resolution. If cancellation risk is material, the draw market on Polymarket offers asymmetric upside (Yes on cancellation) compared to Kalshi's ambiguous treatment. Verify Kalshi's actual cancellation protocol before placing large positions.

Critical divergence points:

  • Kalshi: Three separate binary markets, each resolving Yes if its outcome occurs (Granada win, Valladolid win, or Tie). No explicit cancellation or postponement clause. Evaluation window: 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time and penalties.
  • Polymarket: Three separate binary markets with explicit contingency rules. Win markets (Valladolid Yes, Granada Yes) resolve No if game is canceled with no makeup. Draw market resolves Yes if canceled. Postponed games remain open until completion. Evaluation window: 90 minutes plus stoppage time.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.