This event group covers a men's college basketball game between Gonzaga Bulldogs and Santa Clara Broncos scheduled for February 14, 2026 at 10:30 PM ET. Markets include moneyline (winner), point spread variants at -3.5, -4.5, and -5.5, and over/under totals at 158.5 and 159.5 points.
Kalshi's moneyline market contains a logical contradiction where both possible game outcomes (Santa Clara win and Gonzaga win) are specified to resolve to Yes, making the market fundamentally unresolvable. Polymarket uses standard binary resolution logic.
Hero Tip:
Do not trade the Kalshi moneyline market in its current form. The resolution logic is broken. Polymarket's moneyline, spreads, and totals are all logically sound and mutually consistent. If you must trade this matchup, use Polymarket exclusively.
Critical Divergence Points:
Kalshi: Moneyline market specifies both outcomes resolve to Yes, creating logical impossibility. Quote: 'If Santa Clara wins...resolves to Yes. If Gonzaga wins...resolves to Yes.' This is unresolvable.
Polymarket: Moneyline resolves to winner name (Gonzaga Bulldogs or Santa Clara Broncos). Spreads resolve based on margin thresholds (-3.5, -4.5, -5.5). Totals resolve Over/Under at 158.5 and 159.5. All logic is internally consistent.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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