TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.4b
24H VOL:
$218,201,443
24H TRANSACTIONS:
527,797,601
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,191,873,651
500,842
Markets across
13,663
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,809
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
Gonzaga Bulldogs vs. Ole Miss Rebels (W)
Volume:
$223,270
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers the outcome of a women's college basketball game between Gonzaga Bulldogs and Ole Miss Rebels scheduled for March 20, 2026 at 3:30 PM ET. Markets across platforms are betting on which team will win the game.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi market logic is contradictory: both possible game outcomes (Ole Miss win and Gonzaga win) are mapped to the same resolution (Yes), making it impossible to resolve to No under normal game conditions. Polymarket uses standard binary winner resolution with mutually exclusive outcomes.Hero Tip:
This is a critical data integrity failure on Kalshi. The market cannot function as written because every possible game result resolves to Yes. Before trading, contact Kalshi to confirm whether this is a template error or if the market was meant to track something else (e.g., game completion). Polymarket's market is logically sound and should be your reference for this matchup.Critical Divergence Points:
- Kalshi: Tautological resolution logic. Both 'Ole Miss wins' and 'Gonzaga wins' resolve to Yes, leaving no path to No resolution. Quote: 'If Ole Miss wins...resolves to Yes' AND 'If Gonzaga wins...resolves to Yes'.
- Polymarket: Standard binary winner resolution. Gonzaga victory resolves to 'Gonzaga Bulldogs', Ole Miss victory resolves to 'Ole Miss Rebels'. Mutually exclusive and fully resolvable. Quote: 'If Gonzaga wins, resolves to Gonzaga Bulldogs. If Ole Miss wins, resolves to Ole Miss Rebels.'
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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