TOTAL VOLUME:

$54.1b

24H VOL:

$198,735,462

24H TRANSACTIONS:

527,413,651

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,238,334,809

499,092

Markets across

13,695

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

1,769

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

4

Polymarket:

51%

VS.

Kalshi:

49%

BETA
Dashboards
kalshi
polymarket
Trending

Golden Knights vs. Avalanche

Volume:
$2,765,238
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade

Description

This event group covers an NHL matchup between the Golden Knights and Avalanche scheduled for April 11 at 8:00 PM ET. Markets track both the winner (moneyline) and total goals scored, with multiple over/under thresholds (4.5, 5.5, 6.5, 7.5) to capture varying scoring scenarios. All markets include overtime and shootout results in final scoring, with shootout wins adding one goal to the winner's total.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue:

Kalshi and Polymarket resolve on fundamentally different event types. Kalshi settles on moneyline outcome (either team winning), while Polymarket settles on total goals scored (over/under thresholds) and moneyline. Kalshi's markets are logically contradictory—both outcomes cannot simultaneously resolve to Yes.

Hero Tip:

Kalshi's moneyline markets are unresolvable as written: both 'Avalanche wins' and 'Golden Knights wins' cannot both resolve Yes for the same game. Avoid Kalshi markets in this group. Polymarket offers clear, resolvable markets: choose moneyline (Golden Knights vs. Avalanche) or totals (O/U 4.5, 5.5, 6.5, 7.5). All Polymarket markets share identical resolution source (final NHL score on April 11, 8:00 PM ET) and edge-case handling.

Critical Divergence Points:

  • Kalshi: Outlier: Kalshi presents two mutually exclusive moneyline markets that both resolve to Yes, creating a logical contradiction. Market 1 states 'If COL Avalanche wins...then the market resolves to Yes' and Market 2 states 'If VGK Golden Knights wins...then the market resolves to Yes.' Since exactly one team must win, both markets cannot resolve Yes simultaneously, making the group unresolvable.
  • Polymarket: Distinct stance: Polymarket offers five separate, logically consistent markets: one moneyline (Golden Knights vs. Avalanche), three totals (O/U 4.5, 5.5, 6.5, 7.5), and one spread (Avalanche -1.5). All resolve based on final NHL score including overtime and shootouts (with shootout goal added to winner's total). Postponement keeps markets open; cancellation resolves 50-50.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

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