Polymarket and Kalshi differ on cancellation handling. Polymarket's draw market resolves YES on cancellation (no makeup), while its win markets resolve NO; Kalshi provides no explicit cancellation clause, creating ambiguity.
Hero Tip:
Monitor for game cancellation announcements from the Eredivisie or official team sources. If a cancellation with no makeup occurs, Polymarket traders should expect the draw market to resolve YES and win markets to resolve NO. Kalshi's margin markets lack clear fallback logic—contact Kalshi support for clarification before settlement if cancellation occurs.
Critical Divergence Points:
Polymarket: Three binary markets (draw, Eagles win, AZ win) covering 90-minute result. Draw market resolves YES if canceled with no makeup; win markets resolve NO if canceled with no makeup. Primary source: official Eredivisie statistics or credible reporting consensus within 2 hours of match end. Quote: 'If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Yes"' (draw) and 'this market will resolve "No"' (win).
Kalshi: Four margin-of-victory markets (Eagles >1.5, AZ >1.5, AZ >2.5, Eagles >2.5 goals) covering 90-minute result. No explicit cancellation clause provided in source data. Markets reference original schedule date but lack fallback resolution language for postponement or cancellation scenarios.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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