TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.6b
24H VOL:
$283,259,638
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,235,549,422
505,521
Markets across
13,661
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,892
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
Ghazl El Mahalla SC vs. El Gouna SC - More Markets
Volume:
$23,812
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers a professional Egyptian Premier League soccer match between Ghazl El Mahalla SC and El Gouna SC scheduled for April 8, 2026. Markets span multiple outcome types: head-to-head result, point spreads at various thresholds, both-teams-to-score, and total goals over/under lines.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi presents three mutually exclusive outcomes (El Mahallah wins, El Gouna wins, Tie) each resolving to Yes, creating a logical impossibility. Polymarket markets are well-defined with clear thresholds and sources, but Kalshi's market structure is fundamentally unresolvable as written.Hero Tip:
Polymarket markets are safe to trade—all have clear resolution criteria tied to official efa.com.eg statistics. Avoid Kalshi markets until the three-outcome structure is clarified by the platform. The current wording suggests a design error that could prevent proper settlement.Critical Divergence Points:
- Polymarket: Seven distinct markets with clear binary or threshold-based resolution. All reference official efa.com.eg final score within 90 minutes + stoppage time. Specific thresholds: Both Teams to Score (each ≥1 goal), Spreads (-2.5, -1.5 require margin wins), Totals (1.5, 2.5, 3.5, 4.5 require combined goals). Postponement keeps open; cancellation = 50-50. Key Quote: 'This market will resolve according to the official final score published on efa.com.eg.'
- Kalshi: Three markets presented as independent Yes/No outcomes, each tied to a single result (El Mahallah win, El Gouna win, or Tie). All three resolve to Yes under mutually exclusive conditions, creating logical impossibility. No clear resolution source specified. Key Quote: 'If El Mahallah wins... then the market resolves to Yes. If El Gouna wins... then the market resolves to Yes. If Tie wins... then the market resolves to Yes.'
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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