TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.6b
24H VOL:
$283,259,638
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,235,549,422
505,521
Markets across
13,661
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,892
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
Getafe CF vs. Athletic Club
Volume:
$1,406,993
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
Getafe CF will face Athletic Club (Bilbao) in a La Liga match on April 5, 2026. This event group captures three mutually exclusive outcomes: a Getafe win, an Athletic Club win, or a draw. All markets reference the result after 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalties.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Polymarket and Kalshi diverge on cancellation resolution logic. Polymarket's draw market resolves YES if the game is canceled with no make-up, while Kalshi's markets (covering all three outcomes) implicitly resolve NO for cancellation since none of the three outcomes (Bilbao win, Tie, Getafe win) would occur if the game is canceled.Hero Tip:
If you bet on a draw on Polymarket, a game cancellation with no make-up resolves your market YES. On Kalshi, all three outcome markets would fail to resolve YES under the same cancellation scenario. Avoid betting the draw on Polymarket if cancellation risk is high; consider Kalshi's outcome markets as more conservative in this edge case.Critical Divergence Points:
- Polymarket: Distinct stance: Polymarket offers three separate binary markets (Getafe win, Draw, Athletic Club win). The draw market uniquely resolves YES if the game is canceled entirely with no make-up game, while the win markets resolve NO under cancellation. Quote: 'If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Yes"' (draw market) vs. 'this market will resolve "No"' (win markets).
- Kalshi: Distinct stance: Kalshi offers three outcome-based markets (Bilbao/Athletic Club win, Tie/Draw, Getafe win) that each resolve YES only if that specific outcome occurs. Cancellation is not explicitly addressed, implying none of the three markets would resolve YES if the game is canceled. Quote: 'If Bilbao wins... then the market resolves to Yes. If Tie wins... then the market resolves to Yes. If Getafe wins... then the market resolves to Yes.'
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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