This event group covers a men's college basketball game between the Georgia Bulldogs and Oklahoma Sooners scheduled for February 14, 2026 at 3:30 PM ET. Markets include moneyline (winner), point spreads at -1.5 and -2.5, and a total points over/under at 164.5.
Kalshi moneyline market contains a logical contradiction where both possible outcomes (Oklahoma win or Georgia win) resolve to Yes, making the market fundamentally unresolvable. Polymarket markets are internally consistent.
Hero Tip:
The Kalshi moneyline should not be traded until clarified. Focus on Polymarket moneyline, spreads, and total markets, which all follow coherent resolution logic: determine winner/score from final game result including overtime, postpone if needed, resolve 50-50 only if game is canceled with no makeup.
Critical Divergence Points:
Kalshi: Moneyline market states both "If Oklahoma wins the Georgia at Oklahoma men's college basketball game originally scheduled for Feb 14, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes" and "If Georgia wins the Georgia at Oklahoma men's college basketball game originally scheduled for Feb 14, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes". This creates a logical impossibility where every possible outcome resolves to Yes.
Polymarket: Moneyline resolves to "Georgia Bulldogs" if Georgia wins or "Oklahoma Sooners" if Oklahoma wins. Spread markets (-1.5 and -2.5) resolve based on margin of victory. Total market (O/U 164.5) resolves based on combined points. All markets include overtime, postpone until completion, and resolve 50-50 only if canceled with no makeup game.
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