TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.2b
24H VOL:
$217,900,088
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,256,149,940
499,530
Markets across
13,705
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,785
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
Georgetown Hoyas vs. St. John's Red Storm
Volume:
$1,422,754
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers the NCAA Division I men's college basketball game between Georgetown Hoyas and St. John's Red Storm scheduled for March 3, 2026 at 7:00 PM ET at St. John's. Markets track the moneyline winner, point spread outcomes at two different thresholds, and the combined total points scored.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi moneyline market contains logical contradiction where both possible game outcomes are specified to resolve to Yes, making the market fundamentally unresolvable as written. Polymarket moneyline correctly specifies mutually exclusive outcomes.Hero Tip:
Trade only the Polymarket moneyline, spread, and total markets. Avoid Kalshi moneyline entirely. For spread markets, note that Kalshi uses -15.5 threshold while Polymarket uses -16.5 threshold - these are separate SKUs with different settlement values.Critical Divergence Points:
- Kalshi: Moneyline market states both St. John's win and Georgetown win resolve to Yes, creating logical impossibility. Spread markets (-15.5 and -16.5) and game outcome are properly specified but moneyline is contradictory.
- Polymarket: Moneyline resolves to Georgetown Hoyas or St. John's Red Storm as mutually exclusive outcomes. Spread markets (-15.5 and -16.5) and total (148.5) all have clear, unambiguous resolution logic with proper edge case handling for postponement and cancellation.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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