TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.4b
24H VOL:
$234,875,025
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,205,330,693
501,301
Markets across
13,585
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,825
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
George Washington Revolutionaries vs. New Mexico Lobos
Volume:
$342,791
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event is for the CBB game between George Washington Revolutionaries and New Mexico Lobos on March 22 at 8:00 PM ET. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi and Polymarket use fundamentally different resolution scopes. Kalshi markets resolve solely on combined total points (over/under thresholds ranging from 146.5 to 176.5), while Polymarket includes moneyline, spread, and over/under markets with different threshold values and settlement mechanics.Hero Tip:
If you trade on Kalshi, you are betting purely on total combined points. If you trade on Polymarket, you have exposure to three distinct market types: winner (moneyline), margin of victory (spread at -6.5 to -17.5), and total points (over/under at 155.5, 157.5, 161.5). A Polymarket spread bet at -7.5 resolves YES only if New Mexico wins by 8+ points, which is independent of the total score and may diverge from Kalshi's point-total outcomes.Critical Divergence Points:
- Kalshi: Distinct stance: Kalshi offers 11 markets, all focused exclusively on combined total points thresholds. Each market resolves YES if the combined score exceeds a specific threshold (146.5 to 176.5 points) and NO otherwise. Example: 'If George Washington and New Mexico collectively score over 167.5 total points...then the market resolves to Yes.' Kalshi does not offer moneyline or spread markets.
- Polymarket: Distinct stance: Polymarket offers 8 markets across three categories: (1) moneyline (winner only), (2) spread markets at -6.5, -7.5, -8.5, -9.5, -10.5, -11.5, -12.5, -15.5, -16.5, -17.5 (resolves YES if New Mexico wins by the stated margin or more), and (3) over/under markets at 155.5, 157.5, 161.5 (resolves YES if combined score is 156+, 158+, or 162+ respectively). Example spread: 'This market will resolve to New Mexico Lobos if the New Mexico Lobos win the game by 8 or more points.' Polymarket's spread markets are independent of total points and depend on margin of victory.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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