TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.6b
24H VOL:
$283,259,638
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,235,549,422
505,521
Markets across
13,661
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,892
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
Gençlerbirliği SK vs. Kayserispor
Volume:
$174,223
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers the outcome of a Turkish Super Lig soccer match between Gençlerbirliği SK and Kayserispor scheduled for March 1, 2026. Markets are offered on Polymarket and Kalshi, with separate binary contracts for each possible result: Gençlerbirliği win, draw, and Kayserispor win. All markets resolve based on the result after 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, excluding extra time and penalties.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Unified Resolution Criteria (Consistent across platforms)
Both platforms resolve based on the 90-minute match result (plus stoppage time) between Gençlerbirliği SK and Kayserispor on March 1, 2026, with consistent handling of postponements and cancellations.
Primary resolution logic:
Turkish Football Federation (TFF) official match records and resultsCore resolution logic:
- Resolution is based on the match outcome after 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time only, excluding extra time and penalty shootouts
- Three mutually exclusive outcomes are possible: Gençlerbirliği SK win, draw, or Kayserispor win
- If the match is postponed, all markets remain open until the rescheduled match is completed
- If the match is canceled entirely with no make-up game scheduled, Polymarket win/loss markets resolve No and draw market resolves Yes; Kalshi markets resolve Yes only if the specified outcome occurs (which is impossible in a cancellation, so all resolve No)
Edge cases & Clarifications:
- Match Postponement: If the match is postponed, all markets remain open and unresolved until the match is actually played on the rescheduled date
- Match Cancellation Without Reschedule: Polymarket: win markets resolve No, draw market resolves Yes. Kalshi: all outcome-specific markets resolve No (since no outcome occurs)
- Scope of Play: Resolution covers only the 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time; extra time and penalty shootouts are excluded
Timing:
Resolution occurs after the match is completed on March 1, 2026 (or rescheduled date if postponed), based on the official TFF match resultOur PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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