TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.1b

24H VOL:

$113,466,932

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,423,222,590

402,751

Markets across

30,217

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,632

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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Gençlerbirliği SK vs. Kayserispor
polymarket
kalshi

Gençlerbirliği SK vs. Kayserispor

Volume:
$174,223

Tie

 - Kalshi

Tie - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Mar 1, 2026

Closed: Mar 1, 11:00 AM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Tie

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$26,135
N/A
N/A
$9,501
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Draw (Gençlerbirliği SK vs. Kayserispor)

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$9,372
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Gençlerbirliği SK

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$81,034
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Genclerbirligi

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$24,880
N/A
N/A
$15,780
Settled
No
kalshi

Kayserispor

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$18,076
N/A
N/A
$7,336
Settled
No
polymarket

Kayserispor

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$14,726
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 6

Description

This event group covers the outcome of a Turkish Super Lig soccer match between Gençlerbirliği SK and Kayserispor scheduled for March 1, 2026. Markets are offered on Polymarket and Kalshi, with separate binary contracts for each possible result: Gençlerbirliği win, draw, and Kayserispor win. All markets resolve based on the result after 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, excluding extra time and penalties.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Unified Resolution Criteria (Consistent across platforms)

Both platforms resolve based on the 90-minute match result (plus stoppage time) between Gençlerbirliği SK and Kayserispor on March 1, 2026, with consistent handling of postponements and cancellations.Primary resolution logic: Turkish Football Federation (TFF) official match records and results

Core resolution logic:

  • Resolution is based on the match outcome after 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time only, excluding extra time and penalty shootouts
  • Three mutually exclusive outcomes are possible: Gençlerbirliği SK win, draw, or Kayserispor win
  • If the match is postponed, all markets remain open until the rescheduled match is completed
  • If the match is canceled entirely with no make-up game scheduled, Polymarket win/loss markets resolve No and draw market resolves Yes; Kalshi markets resolve Yes only if the specified outcome occurs (which is impossible in a cancellation, so all resolve No)

Edge cases & clarifications:

  • Match Postponement: If the match is postponed, all markets remain open and unresolved until the match is actually played on the rescheduled date
  • Match Cancellation Without Reschedule: Polymarket: win markets resolve No, draw market resolves Yes. Kalshi: all outcome-specific markets resolve No (since no outcome occurs)
  • Scope of Play: Resolution covers only the 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time; extra time and penalty shootouts are excluded
Timing: Resolution occurs after the match is completed on March 1, 2026 (or rescheduled date if postponed), based on the official TFF match resultOur PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.