TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.6b
24H VOL:
$283,259,638
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,235,549,422
505,521
Markets across
13,661
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,892
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
Furman Paladins vs. UNCG Spartans (W)
Volume:
$92,056
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers the women's college basketball game between Furman Paladins and UNCG Spartans scheduled for February 14, 2026 at 2:00 PM ET. The markets resolve based on which team wins the game, with specific handling for postponements and cancellations.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi's resolution logic contains a logical contradiction where both possible game outcomes (either team winning) resolve to Yes, making the market non-functional. Polymarket uses proper categorical resolution with winner-based outcomes.Hero Tip:
Do not trade on Kalshi's version of this market—it is logically unresolvable. Polymarket is the only platform with valid settlement mechanics. If forced to settle Kalshi, escalate to compliance as the market terms are contradictory.Critical Divergence Points:
- Kalshi: Both outcomes resolve to Yes: 'If UNC Greensboro wins...resolves to Yes' AND 'If Furman wins...resolves to Yes'. This is a logical contradiction that makes the market always resolve Yes regardless of actual game result.
- Polymarket: Categorical resolution: 'If Furman Paladins win, resolves to Furman Paladins. If UNCG Spartans win, resolves to UNCG Spartans.' Postponements keep market open; cancellations without makeup resolve 50-50. Settlement based on final score including overtime.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
Follow the signals, not the noise
Get insights on market conviction, notable shifts, and what the data is quietly signaling.
PredictionHero © 2026 · v0.13.0PredictionHero provides aggregated market data and informational signals only. Nothing on this site constitutes financial, legal, or investment advice. Markets are volatile and speculative. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Always do your own research and consult qualified professionals before making decisions involving risk.