TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.2b
24H VOL:
$217,900,088
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,256,149,940
499,530
Markets across
13,705
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,785
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
Fresno State Bulldogs vs. Utah State Aggies (W)
Volume:
$35,229
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers the women's college basketball matchup between Fresno State Bulldogs and Utah State Aggies scheduled for February 15, 2026. The market resolves based on which team wins the game, with specific handling for postponements and cancellations.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi uses binary Yes resolution for either outcome, while Polymarket uses categorical team-name resolution. Additionally, Polymarket explicitly defines postponement and cancellation rules, while Kalshi does not address these edge cases.Hero Tip:
Both platforms will resolve correctly if the game is played to completion. The divergence matters only if the game is postponed or canceled. Polymarket's 50-50 cancellation rule is explicit; Kalshi's handling is ambiguous. Monitor official NCAA sources and platform announcements for any schedule changes.Critical Divergence Points:
- Kalshi: Binary resolution: market resolves Yes regardless of which team wins. No explicit handling of postponements or cancellations. Key Quote: 'If Fresno St. wins the Fresno St. at Utah St. women's college basketball game originally scheduled for Feb 15, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.'
- Polymarket: Categorical resolution: market resolves to winning team name (Fresno State Bulldogs or Utah State Aggies). Postponements keep market open; cancellations resolve 50-50. Key Quote: 'If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.'
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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