TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.4b
24H VOL:
$230,557,910
24H TRANSACTIONS:
531,611,392
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,202,344,730
501,342
Markets across
13,602
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,822
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
Fresno State Bulldogs vs. New Mexico Lobos (W)
Volume:
$64,515
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers a women's college basketball game between Fresno State Bulldogs and New Mexico Lobos scheduled for March 3, 2026 at 8:00 PM ET. Markets on both Polymarket and Kalshi are designed to resolve based on the final outcome of this single game.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi market contains a logical contradiction where both possible game outcomes (New Mexico win and Fresno State win) are stated to resolve to Yes, making the market fundamentally unresolvable and creating a data integrity failure.Hero Tip:
This is a critical data error on Kalshi. Both outcomes cannot resolve to Yes in a binary event. Request immediate clarification from Kalshi support on whether this represents two separate markets, a template error, or a misstatement of the resolution logic. Avoid trading until the contradiction is resolved.Critical Divergence Points:
- Polymarket: Binary winner-take-all structure with mutually exclusive outcomes. Fresno State win resolves to Fresno State Bulldogs, New Mexico win resolves to New Mexico Lobos. Includes edge case handling for postponement (market stays open) and cancellation (50-50 split). Quote: 'The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods.'
- Kalshi: Logically contradictory structure stating both outcomes resolve to Yes. Quote: 'If New Mexico wins...then the market resolves to Yes. If Fresno St. wins...then the market resolves to Yes.' This violates basic binary market logic and makes resolution impossible.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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