TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.4b
24H VOL:
$218,201,443
24H TRANSACTIONS:
527,797,601
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,191,873,651
500,842
Markets across
13,663
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,809
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
Fortaleza CEIF vs. Jaguares de Córdoba FC
Volume:
$99,855
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers a Colombian Liga DIMAYOR soccer match between Fortaleza CEIF and Jaguares de Córdoba FC scheduled for March 4, 2026. Three binary markets are offered across Polymarket and Kalshi, covering outcomes for each team's victory and draw scenarios. The resolution hinges on the final score after 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalties.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Polymarket's draw market contains a cancellation clause that conflicts with its win markets' cancellation clauses, breaking logical mutual exclusivity. Kalshi's cancellation handling for all three outcome markets is underspecified.Hero Tip:
Before March 4, 2026, request explicit clarification from both platforms on cancellation protocol. Specifically: (1) Polymarket—confirm whether draw market truly resolves YES on cancellation or if this is an error; (2) Kalshi—confirm whether all three outcome markets resolve NO on cancellation, or if there is alternative handling. This divergence does not affect normal match resolution but creates settlement risk in low-probability cancellation scenarios.Critical Divergence Points:
- Polymarket: Offers three separate binary markets. Jaguares win and Fortaleza win markets resolve NO on cancellation. Draw market resolves YES on cancellation with no make-up. This creates a logical contradiction: all three markets cannot simultaneously satisfy their resolution criteria if the game is canceled. Quote: 'If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to Yes' (draw market) vs. 'Otherwise, this market will resolve to No' (win markets).
- Kalshi: Offers three outcome-specific markets (Jaguares wins, Fortaleza wins, Tie) that collectively partition all possible match results. Cancellation handling is not explicitly stated; logic implies all three resolve NO if game does not occur, but this is inferred rather than documented. Quote: 'If Jaguares wins...then the market resolves to Yes' (and similarly for Fortaleza and Tie), with no explicit cancellation clause provided.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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