TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.3b
24H VOL:
$158,613,015
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,206,641,323
499,459
Markets across
13,676
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,789
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
Fordham Rams vs. Saint Louis Billikens (W)
Volume:
$617,413
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers the women's college basketball game between Fordham Rams and Saint Louis Billikens scheduled for March 4, 2026 at 1:30 PM ET at Saint Louis. The markets track which team wins the game, with specific handling for postponements and cancellations.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi uses binary Yes resolution for all game outcomes, while Polymarket uses categorical team-name resolution. Both platforms agree on the underlying game result source (NCAA final score) but differ in how that result maps to market settlement.Hero Tip:
Understand your platform: Kalshi's market will always resolve Yes (game completion = Yes), making it a liquidity/participation play rather than a directional bet. Polymarket's categorical structure allows true team selection. Check postponement and cancellation rules on your platform before trading.Critical Divergence Points:
- Kalshi: Binary Yes/No structure where any completed game (Fordham win OR Saint Louis win) resolves to Yes. No path to No resolution exists. Quote: 'If Fordham wins...then the market resolves to Yes. If Saint Louis wins...then the market resolves to Yes.'
- Polymarket: Categorical structure resolving to winning team name (Fordham Rams or Saint Louis Billikens). Includes explicit handling: postponement keeps market open; cancellation with no makeup resolves 50-50. Quote: 'If the Fordham Rams win, the market will resolve to Fordham Rams. If the Saint Louis Billikens win, the market will resolve to Saint Louis Billikens.'
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
Follow the signals, not the noise
Get insights on market conviction, notable shifts, and what the data is quietly signaling.
PredictionHero © 2026 · v0.13.0PredictionHero provides aggregated market data and informational signals only. Nothing on this site constitutes financial, legal, or investment advice. Markets are volatile and speculative. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Always do your own research and consult qualified professionals before making decisions involving risk.