TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.6b
24H VOL:
$283,259,638
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,235,549,422
505,521
Markets across
13,661
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,892
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
Flyers vs. Wild
Volume:
$505,671
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers an NHL game between the Philadelphia Flyers and Minnesota Wild scheduled for March 12, 2026 at 8:00 PM ET. Markets span moneyline (winner), spread betting, and total goals over/under at multiple thresholds (4.5, 5.5, 6.5, 7.5), plus Kalshi's goal-differential markets.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi markets measure goal differential (spread-like), while Polymarket markets measure combined totals and moneyline outcomes. The two platforms address different settlement dimensions of the same game.Hero Tip:
Kalshi's goal-differential markets are independent from Polymarket's total-goals markets. A single game result can satisfy multiple markets across both platforms, but they resolve on different criteria. Map your thesis carefully: if you expect a high-scoring Flyers win, Polymarket totals and Kalshi Flyers-margin markets both win; if you expect a low-scoring Wild win, Polymarket moneyline and Kalshi Wild-margin markets both win. Monitor for shootout rules clarification on Kalshi.Critical Divergence Points:
- Polymarket: Resolves on combined goals (totals: 4.5, 5.5, 6.5, 7.5) or game winner (moneyline). Shootout adds 1 goal to winner's score. Postponement keeps market open; cancellation resolves 50-50. Source: NHL.com final score.
- Kalshi: Resolves on goal differential: Philadelphia wins by >1.5 or >2.5 goals = Yes; Minnesota wins by >1.5 or >2.5 goals = Yes. No explicit shootout or cancellation language. Scope is margin of victory, not combined totals or moneyline.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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