On April 11, 2025 at 7:00 PM ET, the Philadelphia Flyers will face the New York Jets in an NHL matchup. Markets track both the moneyline winner (Flyers vs. Jets) and multiple over/under totals (4.5, 5.5, 6.5, 7.5 goals combined). Resolution depends on the final score including overtime and shootout adjustments.
Kalshi and Polymarket resolve on fundamentally different event types: Kalshi markets resolve YES if EITHER team wins (making both markets always resolve YES), while Polymarket markets resolve on specific outcomes (moneyline winner, over/under totals, spreads). Kalshi's logic is logically contradictory and unresolvable.
Hero Tip:
Avoid Kalshi markets in this group entirely — they contain a fatal logical flaw where both possible outcomes (Flyers win OR Jets win) trigger YES resolution, making the market meaningless. Trade only Polymarket markets, which use standard sports betting logic with clear winner/loser and total-goals outcomes.
Critical Divergence Points:
Kalshi: Outlier: Both Kalshi markets state 'If PHI Flyers wins...then the market resolves to Yes' AND 'If WPG Jets wins...then the market resolves to Yes.' This means every possible outcome (Flyers win or Jets win) resolves to YES, making the market logically contradictory and unresolvable. There is no NO outcome.
Polymarket: Aligned with standard sports betting logic: Polymarket offers six distinct market types — moneyline (Flyers vs. Jets with clear winner/loser outcomes), five over/under total-goals markets (4.5, 5.5, 6.5, 7.5, 8.5, 9.5 thresholds), and four spread markets (Jets -1.5, Flyers -1.5, -2.5, -3.5, -4.5, -6.5). Each market has mutually exclusive outcomes (Over/Under, Flyers/Jets, or spread winner/loser). All resolve based on final score including overtime and shootouts, with shootout goals added to winning team's total.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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