TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.4b
24H VOL:
$234,875,025
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,205,330,693
501,301
Markets across
13,585
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,825
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
Flyers vs. Devils
Description
In the upcoming NHL game, scheduled for April 7 at 7:00PM ET: If the Flyers win, the market will resolve to "Flyers". If the Devils win, the market will resolve to "Devils". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods and shootouts. In the event of a shootout, one goal will be added to the winning team's score for the purpose of resolution.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi settles on spread/margin outcomes (wins by 1.5+ or 2.5+ goals), while Polymarket settles on moneyline winner and total goals scored. The platforms use fundamentally different resolution dimensions for the same game.Hero Tip:
If you bet on Kalshi, you are betting on margin of victory thresholds; if you bet on Polymarket, you are betting on either the outright winner or combined goal totals. A Flyers win by exactly 2 goals resolves YES on Kalshi (Flyers -1.5) but does not directly resolve any Polymarket moneyline or spread market — it only affects Polymarket's total goals markets. Choose your platform based on whether you want margin-based or outcome-based exposure.Critical Divergence Points:
- Kalshi: Distinct stance: Kalshi resolves all four markets on margin-of-victory thresholds. Markets resolve YES if New Jersey wins by over 1.5 or 2.5 goals, or if Philadelphia wins by over 1.5 or 2.5 goals. Example: 'If New Jersey wins by over 1.5 goals in the Philadelphia at New Jersey professional hockey game originally scheduled for Apr 7, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.'
- Polymarket: Distinct stance: Polymarket resolves on moneyline winner (Flyers vs. Devils) and combined total goals (Over/Under 4.5, 5.5, 6.5, 7.5, 8.5). No margin-of-victory markets. Example: 'If the Flyers win, the market will resolve to Flyers. If the Devils win, the market will resolve to Devils.' and 'This market will resolve to Over if the Flyers and Devils combine to score 5 or more goals.'
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