TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.1b

24H VOL:

$113,466,932

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,423,222,590

402,751

Markets across

30,217

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,632

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

BETA
Dashboards
Insights
Indices
Tour
All
Trending
Breaking
New
Ending Soon
Politics
Sports
Crypto
Companies
Elections
Financials
Economics
Other
Entertainment
Science and Technology
Fluminense FC vs. Associação Chapecoense de Futebol
kalshi
polymarket

Fluminense FC vs. Associação Chapecoense de Futebol

Volume:
$349,743

Fluminense

all

2 markets

Kalshi

Polymarket

consensus

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Apr 27, 2026

Closed: Apr 26, 10:30 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Fluminense

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$117,041
N/A
N/A
$49,080
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Fluminense FC

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$73,882
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Chapecoense

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$81,440
N/A
N/A
$54,467
Settled
No
polymarket

Associação Chapecoense de Futebol

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$12,974
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Tie

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$54,057
N/A
N/A
$27,416
Settled
No
polymarket

Draw (Fluminense FC vs. Associação Chapecoense de Futebol)

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$10,349
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 6

Description

Fluminense FC will face Associação Chapecoense de Futebol in a Campeonato Brasileiro Série A match scheduled for April 26, 2026. The markets assess three mutually exclusive outcomes: a Fluminense victory, a draw, or a Chapecoense victory, evaluated strictly on the result after 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time (excluding extra time or penalties). Resolution depends on official CBF statistics or credible consensus reporting if official data is unavailable within 2 hours post-match.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Kalshi market structure is logically incoherent: all three outcome markets (Fluminense win, Draw, Chapecoense win) resolve YES simultaneously, violating mutual exclusivity. Polymarket markets are properly structured as mutually exclusive binary outcomes.Hero tip: Do not trade the Kalshi markets as presented. The resolution logic creates a logical impossibility where a single match result triggers YES on multiple mutually exclusive outcome markets. Polymarket offers the only coherent market structure for this event.

Critical divergence points:

  • Polymarket: Three mutually exclusive binary markets: (1) Fluminense win resolves YES only if Fluminense wins, NO otherwise; (2) Draw resolves YES only if match ends in a draw, NO otherwise; (3) Chapecoense win resolves YES only if Chapecoense wins, NO otherwise. Exactly one market will resolve YES. Cancellation with no make-up resolves Draw to YES, others to NO. Resolution source: official CBF statistics or credible reporting consensus within 2 hours of match conclusion.
  • Kalshi: Three markets with identical resolution logic: (1) 'If Fluminense wins...then resolves to Yes'; (2) 'If Tie wins...then resolves to Yes'; (3) 'If Chapecoense wins...then resolves to Yes'. This structure creates a logical contradiction: a single match outcome (e.g., Fluminense victory) would trigger YES on market 1 but the same outcome cannot simultaneously trigger YES on markets 2 and 3. No cancellation clause provided. The resolution framework is fundamentally broken.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.