TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.2b
24H VOL:
$217,900,088
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,256,149,940
499,530
Markets across
13,705
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,785
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
Florida Gators vs. Mississippi State Bulldogs (W)
Volume:
$94,459
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers a women's college basketball game between the Florida Gators and Mississippi State Bulldogs scheduled for February 19, 2026 at 7:30 PM ET. Markets on both Polymarket and Kalshi are betting on the outcome of this single game, with resolution based on the final score including overtime.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi's market structure contains a logical contradiction where both possible game outcomes (Florida win or Mississippi State win) are mapped to the same resolution value (Yes), rendering the market unresolvable and breaking the fundamental binary prediction mechanism.Hero Tip:
Avoid trading on Kalshi until the platform corrects the resolution logic. The market as currently written cannot differentiate between outcomes. Trade only on Polymarket, which has clear and functional binary resolution tied to actual game winner.Critical Divergence Points:
- Polymarket: Binary outcome market with clear differentiation: Florida Gators win resolves to 'Florida Gators', Mississippi State win resolves to 'Mississippi State Bulldogs'. Includes proper edge case handling for postponement (market remains open) and cancellation (50-50 split). Resolution based on final score including overtime.
- Kalshi: Yes/No market with critical flaw: both 'Florida wins' and 'Mississippi St. wins' are stated to resolve to Yes. This creates a logical impossibility where the market cannot distinguish between the two mutually exclusive outcomes, making it impossible to settle correctly.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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