TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.4b
24H VOL:
$230,557,910
24H TRANSACTIONS:
531,611,392
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,202,344,730
501,342
Markets across
13,602
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,822
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
Flames vs. Sharks
Volume:
$1,625,696
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers an NHL game between the Calgary Flames and San Jose Sharks scheduled for February 26, 2026 at 10:00 PM ET. Markets span moneyline (winner), multiple over/under total goals thresholds (4.5, 5.5, 6.5, 7.5), and a spread bet. Resolution depends on the final game score including overtime and shootout rules.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi moneyline market contains a logical contradiction: both possible outcomes (Sharks win OR Flames win) resolve to Yes, making the market fundamentally unresolvable and unable to differentiate between teams. Polymarket markets are internally consistent and resolvable.Hero Tip:
Do not trade the Kalshi moneyline in its current form. It will resolve to Yes regardless of which team wins, eliminating any meaningful price discovery or hedging value. Use Polymarket moneyline and spread markets as the reliable settlement reference. Request clarification from Kalshi on whether this is a data error.Critical Divergence Points:
- Polymarket: Moneyline resolves to 'Flames' if Calgary wins, 'Sharks' if San Jose wins—binary, mutually exclusive outcomes. Over/under markets use explicit combined goal thresholds (4.5, 5.5, 6.5, 7.5) with clear Over/Under resolution. Spread market resolves to 'Sharks' if San Jose wins by 2+ goals, otherwise 'Flames'. All markets include shootout rule: one goal added to winning team's score. Key Quote: 'If the Flames win, the market will resolve to Flames. If the Sharks win, the market will resolve to Sharks.'
- Kalshi: Moneyline market states both 'If SJ Sharks wins...resolves to Yes' AND 'If CGY Flames wins...resolves to Yes,' creating a tautology where every possible outcome resolves to Yes. No binary differentiation between teams. No over/under or spread markets provided in source data. Key Quote: 'If SJ Sharks wins the Calgary at San Jose professional hockey game scheduled for Feb 26, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If CGY Flames wins the Calgary at San Jose professional hockey game scheduled for Feb 26, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.'
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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