TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.1b
24H VOL:
$198,735,462
24H TRANSACTIONS:
527,413,651
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,238,334,809
499,092
Markets across
13,695
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,769
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
Flames vs. Golden Knights
Description
In the upcoming NHL game, scheduled for April 2 at 10:00PM ET: If the Flames win, the market will resolve to "Flames". If the Golden Knights win, the market will resolve to "Golden Knights". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods and shootouts. In the event of a shootout, one goal will be added to the winning team's score for the purpose of resolution.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi and Polymarket use fundamentally different resolution scopes. Kalshi resolves on margin-of-victory thresholds (1.5+ or 2.5+ goal margins), while Polymarket resolves on binary winner/loser outcomes and total goals scored, with no margin-of-victory markets.Hero Tip:
If you trade on Kalshi's margin markets, your outcome depends on the final score differential (e.g., Calgary wins 3-1 = 2-goal margin). On Polymarket, only the winner and total goals matter. A 3-1 Calgary win resolves YES on Kalshi's Calgary >1.5 margin market but does not directly map to any Polymarket market—Polymarket would resolve Flames on the winner market and Over/Under based on combined goals (4 total = Under 4.5, Under 5.5, Under 6.5, Under 7.5). Ensure you understand which resolution logic matches your prediction.Critical Divergence Points:
- Kalshi: Outlier: Resolves on goal-margin thresholds only. Four markets cover scenarios where Calgary wins by >1.5 or >2.5 goals, or Vegas wins by >1.5 or >2.5 goals. Each market resolves YES if its specific margin condition is met, otherwise NO. Key quote: 'If Calgary wins by over 1.5 goals... then the market resolves to Yes' and 'If Vegas wins by over 2.5 goals... then the market resolves to Yes.'
- Polymarket: Outlier: Resolves on binary winner (Flames vs. Golden Knights), total goals (Over/Under at 4.5, 5.5, 6.5, 7.5 thresholds), and spread (-1.5 for Golden Knights). Winner market resolves to team name; total-goals markets resolve Over if combined score meets or exceeds threshold, Under otherwise; spread market resolves Golden Knights if Vegas wins by 2+ goals, else Flames. Key quote: 'If the Flames win, the market will resolve to Flames' and 'This market will resolve to Over if the Flames and Golden Knights combine to score 5 or more goals.'
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