TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.4b
24H VOL:
$234,875,025
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,205,330,693
501,301
Markets across
13,585
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,825
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
FIFA World Cup Group L Winner
Description
This market will resolve according to the team that wins Group L in the 2026 FIFA World Cup group stage, scheduled for June 11-27, 2026. If multiple teams tie as group winners, this market will resolve according to the official tiebreak procedure of the 2026 FIFA World Cup. If the World Cup group stage is cancelled, postponed after September 30, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared for this group within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Unified Resolution Criteria (Consistent across platforms)
Primary resolution logic:
Official FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/); consensus of credible reporting as secondary sourceCore resolution logic:
- Resolution occurs when Group L final standings are officially declared by FIFA following completion of all group stage matches (June 11-27, 2026)
- The market resolves to the team that finishes in first place according to points, goal differential, and goals scored
- If multiple teams tie on points, the official 2026 FIFA World Cup tiebreak procedure determines the group winner
- Eligible outcomes are: England, Panama, Ghana, or Croatia (the four teams in Group L)
- If the group stage is cancelled, postponed after September 30, 2026, or no winner is declared within that timeframe, the market resolves to 'Other'
Edge cases & Clarifications:
- Tied Group Winners: If two or more teams finish with identical points and goal differential, the official FIFA tiebreak procedure (goals scored, head-to-head record, etc.) determines the single group winner
- Group Stage Cancellation: If the 2026 FIFA World Cup group stage is cancelled entirely or postponed beyond September 30, 2026, the market resolves to 'Other'
- No Winner Declared: If no winner is officially declared for Group L by September 30, 2026, the market resolves to 'Other'
- Credible Reporting Consensus: In rare cases where official FIFA sources are temporarily unavailable, a consensus of credible sports reporting (major news outlets, official team announcements) may serve as secondary resolution source
Timing:
Resolution occurs immediately upon official declaration of Group L final standings by FIFA, expected by late June 2026 following completion of all group matches (scheduled June 11-27, 2026). Latest resolution deadline is September 30, 2026; if unresolved by then, market resolves to 'Other'.Follow the signals, not the noise
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