FIFA World Cup Group J Winner

Unified Resolution Criteria (Consistent across platforms)

Core resolution logic:

• Resolution occurs when the 2026 FIFA World Cup Group J stage concludes and final standings are official
• The team with the highest points (wins and draws) finishes first and resolves the market to Yes for that team
• If two or more teams tie on points, FIFA's official tiebreak procedure (goal differential, goals scored, head-to-head record, etc.) determines the group winner
• Only one team can win Group J; markets on individual teams (Argentina, Austria, Algeria, Jordan) resolve Yes for the winner and No for all others
• Polymarket includes an 'Other' option for scenarios where no winner is declared

Edge cases & Clarifications:

• Tied Group Winners: If multiple teams finish with identical records, FIFA's official tiebreak procedure applies in this order: goal differential, goals scored, head-to-head points, head-to-head goal differential, head-to-head goals scored, and fair play points. The team ranked highest by these criteria is declared the group winner.
• Group Stage Cancellation or Postponement: If the World Cup group stage is cancelled or postponed beyond September 30, 2026, markets resolve to 'Other' (where applicable) or remain unresolved pending official FIFA guidance.
• No Winner Declared: If no group winner is officially declared by FIFA within the specified timeframe, markets resolve to 'Other' or per platform's default contingency.
• Resolution Timing: Resolution occurs immediately after the final Group J match concludes and official standings are published by FIFA, typically within 24 hours of match completion.