TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.4b
24H VOL:
$224,446,576
24H TRANSACTIONS:
531,611,392
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,198,377,813
501,416
Markets across
13,642
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,816
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
FIFA World Cup Group B Winner
Total volume:
$165,069
Volume 24h:
$3,775
56%
Liquidity:
$151,433
4%
Open interest:
$39,405
0.26%
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers prediction markets on which team will finish first (win) in Group B of the 2026 FIFA World Cup. Multiple platforms offer binary or categorical markets on individual teams (Switzerland, Italy, Canada, Wales, Northern Ireland, Bosnia and Herzegovina, Qatar) or the group winner outcome.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Unified Resolution Criteria (Consistent across platforms)
All platforms (Kalshi, Predict, Polymarket, Limitless) apply identical resolution logic: the team that finishes first in Group B per official FIFA standings, with tiebreak procedures applied, and cancellation/postponement fallback to Other/No.
Primary resolution logic:
Official FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/); secondary source is consensus of credible reportingCore resolution logic:
- Resolution occurs when Group B final standings are officially confirmed by FIFA at the conclusion of the group stage (on or before June 27, 2026)
- The team that finishes in first place (highest points, then goal differential, then goals scored per FIFA rules) wins Group B
- If multiple teams tie on all tiebreak criteria, the official FIFA tiebreak procedure determines the group winner
- Each individual team market (Switzerland, Italy, Canada, Wales, Northern Ireland, Bosnia and Herzegovina, Qatar) resolves Yes if that team finishes first; No otherwise
- Categorical 'Group B Winner' markets resolve to the name of the winning team
Edge cases & Clarifications:
- Tied Group Winner: If two or more teams finish with identical records, the official 2026 FIFA World Cup tiebreak procedure (points, goal differential, goals scored, head-to-head record, etc.) determines the sole group winner. The market resolves to that team.
- Group Stage Cancellation or Postponement: If Group B is cancelled or postponed beyond September 30, 2026, markets resolve to Other (categorical) or No (binary individual team markets).
- No Winner Declared: If no winner is officially declared for Group B within the timeframe, resolution defaults to Other or No.
- Playoff Qualification Ambiguity: Predict platform references a playoff between Bosnia and Herzegovina, Italy, Northern Ireland, and Wales; however, only one team from this group qualifies for Group B. Resolution is based on which of these teams actually qualifies and their final Group B standing, not playoff outcomes.
Timing:
Resolution occurs on or shortly after June 27, 2026, when FIFA officially confirms final Group B standings. No resolution occurs before the group stage concludes.Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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