TOTAL VOLUME:

$134b

24H VOL:

$103,397,351

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,410,176,180

399,592

Markets across

30,097

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,622

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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Fenerbahçe SK vs. Kasımpaşa SK
polymarket
kalshi

Fenerbahçe SK vs. Kasımpaşa SK

Volume:
$1,834,992

Tie

 - Kalshi

Tie - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Feb 23, 2026

Fenerbahce vs Kasimpasa Winner?

100%chance
Amount

$

Trade on
kalshi

Trade on Kalshi

Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.At 100¢ buys you 100 shares | Odds: 100% Total Payout: $100 | Net Profit: $0 Multiplier: 1.00x | ROI: 0% | APY: N/A Illiquid market
You will be redirected to the platform to complete this trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Tie

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$247,171
0%
0%
$106,337
N/A
polymarket

Draw (Fenerbahçe SK vs. Kasımpaşa SK)

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$133,256
0%
N/A
N/A
N/A
kalshi

Fenerbahce

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$681,825
0%
0%
$263,486
N/A
polymarket

Fenerbahçe SK

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$469,917
0%
N/A
N/A
N/A
kalshi

Kasimpasa

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$193,594
0%
0%
$130,829
N/A
polymarket

Kasımpaşa SK

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$109,229
0%
N/A
N/A
N/A
Total markets: 6

Description

This event group covers the outcome of a professional Super Lig soccer match between Fenerbahçe SK and Kasımpaşa SK scheduled for February 23, 2026. Markets track whether Fenerbahçe wins, Kasımpaşa wins, or the match ends in a draw, with resolution based on the result after 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Polymarket's draw market has a unique cancellation clause (resolves YES if game is canceled) that does not apply to its win markets (resolve NO), and Kalshi provides no explicit cancellation guidance, creating potential settlement inconsistency.Hero tip: Monitor official Turkish Football Federation (TFF) announcements for any postponement or cancellation. If cancellation occurs, Polymarket's draw market will resolve YES while its win markets resolve NO; Kalshi's behavior is undefined. Consider this when sizing positions across platforms.

Critical divergence points:

  • Polymarket: Three separate binary markets with asymmetric cancellation logic. Fenerbahçe win and Kasımpaşa win markets resolve NO if game is canceled with no make-up. Draw market resolves YES under the same condition. Key Quote: Draw market states 'If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve Yes' while win markets state 'this market will resolve No'.
  • Kalshi: Three mutually exclusive outcome markets (Kasımpaşa wins, Fenerbahçe wins, Tie) with no explicit cancellation or postponement clause. All three markets are framed as conditional on the game occurring but lack fallback resolution logic. Key Quote: No cancellation clause provided in any of the three market descriptions.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.