TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.4b
24H VOL:
$216,099,358
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,189,677,720
500,754
Markets across
13,672
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,801
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
Fenerbahçe SK vs. Kasımpaşa SK
Volume:
$1,834,992
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers the outcome of a professional Super Lig soccer match between Fenerbahçe SK and Kasımpaşa SK scheduled for February 23, 2026. Markets track whether Fenerbahçe wins, Kasımpaşa wins, or the match ends in a draw, with resolution based on the result after 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Polymarket's draw market has a unique cancellation clause (resolves YES if game is canceled) that does not apply to its win markets (resolve NO), and Kalshi provides no explicit cancellation guidance, creating potential settlement inconsistency.Hero Tip:
Monitor official Turkish Football Federation (TFF) announcements for any postponement or cancellation. If cancellation occurs, Polymarket's draw market will resolve YES while its win markets resolve NO; Kalshi's behavior is undefined. Consider this when sizing positions across platforms.Critical Divergence Points:
- Polymarket: Three separate binary markets with asymmetric cancellation logic. Fenerbahçe win and Kasımpaşa win markets resolve NO if game is canceled with no make-up. Draw market resolves YES under the same condition. Key Quote: Draw market states 'If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve Yes' while win markets state 'this market will resolve No'.
- Kalshi: Three mutually exclusive outcome markets (Kasımpaşa wins, Fenerbahçe wins, Tie) with no explicit cancellation or postponement clause. All three markets are framed as conditional on the game occurring but lack fallback resolution logic. Key Quote: No cancellation clause provided in any of the three market descriptions.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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