TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.6b
24H VOL:
$283,259,638
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,235,549,422
505,521
Markets across
13,661
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,892
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
Fenerbahçe SK vs. Gaziantep FK
Volume:
$646,107
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers a Turkish Super Lig soccer match between Fenerbahçe SK and Gaziantep FK scheduled for March 17, 2026. Three markets are defined across Polymarket and Kalshi platforms, covering outcomes for a draw, Gaziantep win, and Fenerbahçe win, all evaluated on the result within 90 minutes plus stoppage time.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Polymarket's draw market resolves YES on cancellation with no make-up, while Polymarket's win markets and Kalshi's markets resolve NO in the same scenario. This creates logical inconsistency where a single canceled event produces contradictory resolutions across related markets.Hero Tip:
Obtain explicit written confirmation from both platforms on how cancellations without reschedules are handled. The draw market on Polymarket carries asymmetric cancellation risk compared to win markets. Consider this when sizing positions across platforms.Critical Divergence Points:
- Polymarket: Three separate markets with inconsistent cancellation logic. Draw market resolves YES if canceled with no make-up. Win markets (Fenerbahçe and Gaziantep) resolve NO if canceled with no make-up. All three reference TFF.org as primary source and require official statistics within 2 hours post-event, or credible reporting consensus thereafter.
- Kalshi: Three outcome markets (Fenerbahce win, Gaziantep win, Tie) with no explicit cancellation clause provided in source data. Kalshi markets reference 90 minutes plus stoppage time but do not specify fallback resolution if game is canceled or postponed indefinitely.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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