TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.4b
24H VOL:
$234,875,025
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,205,330,693
501,301
Markets across
13,585
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,825
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
Fenerbahce vs. Monaco
Volume:
$125,193
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers a professional Euroleague basketball game between AS Monaco and Fenerbahce Istanbul scheduled for March 5, 2026 at 12:45 PM EST. Markets across platforms are betting on the winner of this single game.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi market resolves to Yes for both possible game outcomes (Fenerbahce win and Monaco win), creating a logical contradiction that makes the market unresolvable as a binary contract. Polymarket correctly implements a winner-take-all binary structure.Hero Tip:
Kalshi's market definition is internally contradictory and unresolvable in its current form. Contact Kalshi support immediately to clarify whether this is a data entry error or a misnamed market. Polymarket's market is logically sound and safe to trade. Do not assume Kalshi will auto-resolve to Yes; request explicit clarification on the resolution path for a Monaco victory.Critical Divergence Points:
- Polymarket: Standard binary winner-take-all. Resolves to Fenerbahce if Fenerbahce wins; resolves to Monaco if Monaco wins. Postponement extends market; cancellation without makeup resolves 50-50. Source: Euroleague Basketball official site.
- Kalshi: Critical logical error: both outcomes map to Yes resolution. States 'If Fenerbahce wins, resolves Yes' AND 'If Monaco wins, resolves Yes,' leaving no defined path to No. This violates binary contract logic and makes the market unresolvable as written.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
Follow the signals, not the noise
Get insights on market conviction, notable shifts, and what the data is quietly signaling.
PredictionHero © 2026 · v0.13.0PredictionHero provides aggregated market data and informational signals only. Nothing on this site constitutes financial, legal, or investment advice. Markets are volatile and speculative. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Always do your own research and consult qualified professionals before making decisions involving risk.