TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.6b
24H VOL:
$283,259,638
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,235,549,422
505,521
Markets across
13,661
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,892
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
FC Volendam vs. FC Groningen
Volume:
$205,609
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers the professional Eredivisie soccer match between FC Volendam and FC Groningen scheduled for March 1, 2026. Three prediction markets across Kalshi and Polymarket track the outcome: whether Volendam wins, Groningen wins, or the match ends in a draw. All markets resolve based on the result after 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, excluding extra time and penalties.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Cancellation handling diverges between platforms. Kalshi provides no explicit cancellation rule, while Polymarket specifies that a canceled match with no make-up resolves the Draw market to Yes and Win markets to No.Hero Tip:
In the event of a full cancellation with no rescheduled date, Polymarket's Draw market will resolve Yes while Volendam and Groningen Win markets resolve No. Kalshi's cancellation behavior is undefined. Confirm cancellation status with official Eredivisie communications before settlement. Consider this asymmetry when positioning across platforms.Critical Divergence Points:
- Kalshi: Three binary markets resolve Yes if Tie, Volendam Win, or Groningen Win occurs after 90 minutes plus stoppage time. No explicit cancellation clause provided. Quote: 'after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties)' with no mention of postponement or cancellation scenarios.
- Polymarket: Three separate markets (Draw, Volendam Win, Groningen Win) each with distinct cancellation rules. Draw resolves Yes on cancellation; Win markets resolve No on cancellation. Quote: 'If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to Yes' (Draw) and 'this market will resolve No' (Win markets).
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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