TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.6b
24H VOL:
$283,259,638
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,235,549,422
505,521
Markets across
13,661
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,892
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
FC St. Pauli 1910 vs. SV Werder Bremen
Volume:
$455,481
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers three interconnected prediction markets on the Bundesliga match between FC St. Pauli 1910 and SV Werder Bremen scheduled for February 22, 2026. The markets collectively capture all possible outcomes: a draw, a St. Pauli win, or a Bremen win, each resolving based on the result after 90 minutes plus stoppage time.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Unified Resolution Criteria (Consistent across platforms)
Both Polymarket and Kalshi apply identical resolution logic: 90 minutes plus stoppage time only, postponement handling (remain open), cancellation handling (draw Yes/win No), and reliance on official match outcomes.
Primary resolution logic:
Official Bundesliga records and match statistics (bundesliga.com)Core resolution logic:
- Resolution is based on the match outcome after 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time only
- Extra time and penalty shootouts are excluded from resolution
- Three mutually exclusive outcomes are possible: St. Pauli win, Bremen win, or draw
- Only one of the three Polymarket/Kalshi markets will resolve to Yes based on the actual result
- Official Bundesliga sources determine the final match result
Edge cases & Clarifications:
- Match Postponement: If the match is postponed, all markets remain open and unresolved until the rescheduled match is completed. Resolution then occurs based on the completed match result.
- Match Cancellation (No Reschedule): If the match is canceled entirely with no make-up game scheduled, the draw market resolves to Yes and both win markets (St. Pauli and Bremen) resolve to No.
- Extra Time or Penalties: If the match proceeds to extra time or a penalty shootout, only the result after 90 minutes plus stoppage time is used for resolution. Outcomes determined in extra time or penalties are not considered.
- Mutual Exclusivity: Exactly one outcome will occur: either St. Pauli wins, Bremen wins, or the match ends in a draw. The three markets are collectively exhaustive and mutually exclusive.
Timing:
Resolution occurs immediately after the match concludes on February 22, 2026, based on the official final score after 90 minutes plus stoppage time.Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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