TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.6b
24H VOL:
$283,259,638
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,235,549,422
505,521
Markets across
13,661
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,892
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
FC Seoul vs. Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors FC
Volume:
$119,739
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event is for the upcoming K-League game, scheduled for Saturday, April 11, 2026 between FC Seoul and Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors FC.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi's market structure is logically contradictory and unresolvable: all three resolution conditions (Seoul wins, Jeonbuk wins, or Tie) resolve to Yes, making it impossible to distinguish outcomes. Polymarket provides three separate, mutually exclusive markets (Seoul Win, Draw, Jeonbuk Win) with consistent binary resolution logic aligned to a single source.Hero Tip:
Do not trade Kalshi's market — it contains a fatal logical flaw where every possible match outcome triggers a Yes resolution, rendering the market meaningless. Trade Polymarket's three separate markets instead, which correctly partition the outcome space and resolve based on official K League statistics.Critical Divergence Points:
- Kalshi: Outlier: Kalshi's three conditions all resolve to Yes regardless of match outcome. The market states 'If Seoul wins... then resolves to Yes', 'If Jeonbuk wins... then resolves to Yes', and 'If Tie... then resolves to Yes', creating a logical contradiction where every possible outcome is marked Yes. This makes the market unresolvable and non-informative.
- Polymarket: Aligned with standard prediction market design: Polymarket offers three separate binary markets (Seoul Win Yes/No, Draw Yes/No, Jeonbuk Win Yes/No) that partition the outcome space correctly. Each market resolves to Yes or No based on official K League statistics within 90 minutes plus stoppage time, with a 2-hour publication window and fallback to credible reporting. All three markets share the same primary source and timing rules.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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